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Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)After the US PPI and initial application data were released, the price of gold dropped further. After the US PPI and initial application data exceeded expectations, the price of gold continued to decline. Paul Ashworth, a macro analyst at Kaitou, said: "The components of PCE favored by the Federal Reserve are generally weak, and the CPI data released yesterday indicate that the monthly rate of core PCE will only increase slightly by 0.03%. Now it seems that the Fed is more likely to continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. " At the same time, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 last week, the highest level since mid-October last year, while economists expected a decrease of 4,000 to 220,000.The concept of cryptocurrency in US stocks strengthened collectively at the beginning of the session, with Hut 8 and Riot Platforms rising by more than 8%, Bitdeer rising by more than 6%, TeraWulf and CleanSpark rising by more than 3%. In the news, US President-elect Trump announced that he would do some great things in the field of cryptocurrency.

Russian officials: The failure of sanctions against Russia to achieve geopolitical goals will cost the EU 1.5 trillion euros. On the 12th local time, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grushko said that Russia has adapted to various sanctions and will develop relations with all countries willing to cooperate. He said that the EU is on a road of self-destruction, and any geopolitical goal cannot be achieved through sanctions. If the EU wants to refuse cooperation with Russia, this is the EU's choice, but most assessments show that this choice has caused the EU to suffer a loss of 1.5 trillion euros.Sony rose more than 2% and hit a new high. Institutions are optimistic about its unique positioning. SONY.US rose more than 2%, hitting a maximum of $22.67, a record high since February 2022. Sony's Japanese shares rose nearly 3% today, once again hitting a record high. In the news, Sony previously announced that for the current fiscal year that will end at the end of March next year, the expected operating profit will reach 1.31 trillion yen, about six times that of fiscal year 1999. Among them, the entertainment business is expected to contribute 60% of the overall profit, while the electronic business is no longer reported as a department alone. Yasuo Nakane, head of global technology research at Mizuho, explained that Sony has a horizontal axis in film, music, games and animation, and a vertical axis from production to distribution. The company also has electronic technology, including image sensors, cameras and software, which makes it in a unique position compared with Apple, Netflix or Samsung.China Resources Land: The contracted sales in November was about 25.80 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year. China Resources Land announced on the evening of December 12 that in November 2024, the Group achieved a total contracted sales of about 25.80 billion yuan, with a total contracted sales floor area of about 1.203 million square meters, up 6.9% and 11.1% respectively. In the first 11 months of 2024, the cumulative contracted sales was about RMB 229.10 billion, and the total contracted sales floor area was about 10.031 million square meters, down by 19.9% and 16.8% respectively.

Professor Wu Yin, School of Economics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics: In order to attract more social capital to participate in the construction of industrial innovation system, the Central Economic Work Conference proposed that scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new productive forces and build a modern industrial system. In this regard, Wu Yin, a professor at the School of Economics of Southwestern University of Finance and Economics and director of the Institute of Political Economy, said in an interview that the meeting emphasized the important role of scientific and technological innovation in accelerating the formation of new quality productive forces, and made it clear that the core kinetic energy of building a modern industrial system comes from a number of future industries based on scientific and technological innovation. The meeting also emphasized improving the multi-level financial service system, giving sufficient financial support to potential industries and enterprises, and attracting more social capital to participate in the process of industrial innovation system construction. (SSE)Billionaire bill ackman: Watch America.Liu Xiangdong, Deputy Director of Scientific Research and Information Department of International Economic Exchange Center: Comprehensive improvement of "involution" competition will help scientific and technological innovation and industrial development enter a virtuous circle. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed that scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new quality productive forces and build a modern industrial system. In this regard, Liu Xiangdong, deputy director of the Scientific Research and Information Department of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that at present, China's economic development is in a critical period of transforming old and new kinetic energy. Scientific and technological innovation is the core element of developing new quality productivity. To break through the bottleneck of development from the supply side, it is necessary to lead industrial innovation and development with scientific and technological innovation and actively cultivate and develop new quality productivity. To cultivate new quality productivity, we should drive productivity to leap to advanced quality with scientific and technological innovation, open up new development fields and tracks with original and subversive technological innovation, and shape new development momentum and new advantages. (SSE)